Current:Home > MarketsHow to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market -Wealth Evolution Experts
How to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market
View
Date:2025-04-16 10:23:02
The job market is defying all odds.
U.S. employers added 336,000 jobs in September, according to the Labor Department. That's about twice as many as forecasters were expecting.
The strong job growth is welcome news for anyone looking for work. But it could make the Federal Reserve's effort to bring down inflation harder.
Here are four things to know about the monthly employment snapshot.
The jobs engine is not slowing down
Instead of the slowdown that forecasters expected to see in the jobs numbers, hiring appears to be revving up. Not only did employers add an eye-popping number of jobs in September, but revised figures show that hiring was much stronger in July and August than had been reported.
Last month's job gains were broad-based with nearly every industry adding workers.
Restaurants and bars added 61,000 jobs in September and are finally back to where they were before the pandemic. Health care and education also added tens of thousands of workers last month. Even factories and construction companies continued to hire, despite the strain of rising interest rates.
The job market has implications for the Fed
The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on the job market as it tries to decide whether to raise interest rates even higher, in an effort to control inflation.
At its last meeting in September, policymakers appeared to be leaning toward one more rate hike this year in their quest to bring prices under control.
The strong September employment report could be a worry, but it may not be all bad from the Fed's perspective.
The main concern with hot labor market is that it could put upward pressure on wages, and threaten further inflation.
But despite the big job gains last month, wage growth remained modest. Average wages in September were up 4.2% from a year ago, and wages rose just 0.2% between August and September.
"Wage growth is cooling so this doesn't look like an inflationary job market," says Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives. "It's kind of Goldilocks, actually."
The unemployment rate is still low
The unemployment rate held steady in September at 3.8%. While the jobless rate has inched up from earlier this year, it remains very low by historical standards.
The unemployment rate rose in August because hundreds of thousands of new people joined the workforce that month. That's a good sign because it suggests people are optimistic about their job prospects. And with more people working, the economy can grow without putting upward pressure on prices.
A cautionary note: the unemployment rate for African Americans rose last month from 5.3 to 5.7%. That could be a statistical fluke. The number has bounced up and down a lot in recent months. But it's something to keep an eye on.
Strike news won't show up until next month
This jobs tally was conducted in mid-September, just before the United Auto Workers strike began, so it doesn't reflect the 25,000 autoworkers who are on strike as of Friday morning, nor the several thousand additional workers who've been idled because of parts shortages tied to the strike.
The September snapshot was also taken before Hollywood writers ended their strike. Those changes could show up in the October jobs report.
veryGood! (7)
Related
- NHL in ASL returns, delivering American Sign Language analysis for Deaf community at Winter Classic
- Angus Cloud's Dad Died One Week Before the Euphoria Actor
- 'Home Improvement' star Zachery Ty Bryan arrested for domestic violence (again)
- Vegas man killed roommate and lived with her corpse for extended period of time, police say
- From family road trips to travel woes: Americans are navigating skyrocketing holiday costs
- 'Fairly shocking': Secret medical lab in California stored bioengineered mice laden with COVID
- Back to school 2023: Could this be the most expensive school year ever? Maybe
- Mom of missing Arizona teen who surfaced after 4 years says family being harassed
- A Georgia governor’s latest work after politics: a children’s book on his cats ‘Veto’ and ‘Bill’
- The US lacks that 2019 magic at this Women’s World Cup
Ranking
- What polling shows about Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Harris’ new running mate
- Who else is favored to win 2023 World Cup if USWNT gets eliminated in group stage?
- GM recalls nearly 900 vehicles with Takata air bag inflators, blames manufacturing problem
- Tiger Woods joins PGA Tour board and throws support behind Commissioner Jay Monahan
- Southern California rocked by series of earthquakes: Is a bigger one brewing?
- First long COVID treatment clinical trials from NIH getting underway
- Helicopter crashes into cornfield in southern Illinois, killing pilot
- Skip Holtz to join scandal-ridden Northwestern football as special assistant, per reports
Recommendation
US Open player compensation rises to a record $65 million, with singles champs getting $3.6 million
California woman's 1991 killer identified after DNA left under victim's fingernails
Pre-order the Classic Nintendo inspired 8BitDo Retro Mechanical Keyboard
Add Some Magic to Your Beauty Routine With the Charlotte Tilbury and Disney Collection
US auto safety agency seeks information from Tesla on fatal Cybertruck crash and fire in Texas
Beijing's worst flooding in a decade kills at least 2 as China grapples with remnants of Typhoon Doksuri
Flashing 'X' sign on top of Twitter building in San Francisco sparks city investigation
Pac-12 leaders receive details of media deal, but no vote to accept terms as future remains murky